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14 mai 转一下Wikipedia上记载的关于此次地震的PredictionIn 2002, a study by Chen Xuezhong published in the Chinese seismology journal Recent Developments in World Seismology reported that starting 2003 there is a high probability of M≥7 earthquake in Sichuan Province.[51] "Sichuan is virtually certain to experience an earthquake measuring above 7 in the next few years" he wrote.
On May 3, around 20:00 local time, Ngawa Prefecture's Earthquake Relief Authority received a number of phone calls asking them to confirm or deny a rumor that an earthquake had been predicted for Matang Village of Suomo township of Barkam County (马尔康县梭磨乡马塘村). The Authority then searched for the source of the rumors. Barkam County is about 120 kilometers (about 75 miles) northwest of the epicenter of the May 12 earthquake. On 6 May nearly 80,000 m3 of water that once filled the Guanyin pond of Baiguo township of Enshi city, Hubei province sank underground with a rumbling sound.
On May 9, the official website of Sichuan Provincial Government reported that the provincial seismological bureau has denied making any related predictions. Tracing the rumors to a video conference when Barkam County's Geological Disaster Preventive Committee told county officials of a possible "Geological disaster" (地质灾害), but was misconstrued as a possible "Earthquake disaster" (地震灾害).
An anonymous user posted a thread on the popular Baidu Forums stating that earthquake clouds were observed in Linyi, Shandong, this was later confirmed by a user from Tongzhou District in Beijing. On May 10, residents of Tanmu village of Southwest town of Mianzhu, Sichuan (less than 100 km from the epicentre) observed hundreds of thousands of toads migrating on a roadway near a pharmaceutical factory. A similar phenomenon was observed a day earlier in Taizhou, Jiangsu.
On May 13th, in the press conference held by State's Information Office, a Singapore journalist said they received complaints from 7 workers in Sichuan earthquake bureau, who claimed they "detected some earthquake evidence several days before the earthquake, but the prediction was banned by the bureau for the stabilization before the 2008 Olympic Games" . The bureau responded that earthquake forecasting is a "World problem", and that no earthquake prediction card was received before the earthquake.
嗯,关于最后一段,不愿意去相信是真的,但是这的确像是阿拉国家做出来的事情...... 现在为止为了奥运牺牲的真得太多了。 Anyway,和xxxx比起来,我还是觉得只有一次的生命比较重要。 不过还是希望能有个成功的奥运,安抚下受尽天灾人祸折磨的国人们。 最后转个网上捐款的Link:http://www.yeepay.com/mlove/ |
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